Now what it we end up all being wrong and it's not the new Navigator? Maybe the MKC refresh or something along those lines.
MKC skips a refresh and goes straight for a complete redesign for 2019.
MKC isn't even two full years old so it won't be a refresh. I honestly believe it'll be the new 'Gator concept, with the very slim possibility of them ALSO showing a slight facelift for the now extended MKT.
I've said this for quite a while that we'd see a Navi "concept" this year. The timing just makes too much sense, just like MKC, MKX, and Continental before it, which each followed the pattern of concept (year 1), production model (year 2), model on sale (model year 3).
MKC: 2013 show - concept > 2014 show - production model shown for 2015 model year
MKX: 2014 show - concept > 2015 show - production model shown for 2016 model year
Continental: 2015 show - concept > 2016 show - production model shown for 2017 model year
and now, Navigator: 2016 show - concept > 2017 show - production model shown for 2018 model year
And we're obviously at the 2016 show now.